That's about where I think it will fall.
My guess 17 to 18k base to 28-30k Trailhawk loaded.
I think this is the sweet spot for the model to be successful.
For one, Jeep Patriot starts at $15,995 USD. Jeep advertises the Patriot as Americas Best Priced SUV on their website, its unlikely Jeep wants to give up that bit of marketing glory so I don't expect Renegade to stray too far from that.
Since the Patriot is being discontinued, why not have the Renegade take its spot as the 'Best Priced SUV'?